Johannes Bracher
Johannes Bracher
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology / Heidelberg Institute of Theoretical Studies
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Probabilistic forecasting in infectious disease epidemiology: the 13th Armitage lecture
L Held, S Meyer, J Bracher
Statistics in medicine 36 (22), 3443-3460, 2017
Long-term air pollution exposure and lung function in 15 year-old adolescents living in an urban and rural area in Germany: the GINIplus and LISAplus cohorts
E Fuertes, J Bracher, C Flexeder, I Markevych, C Klümper, B Hoffmann, ...
International journal of hygiene and environmental health 218 (7), 656-665, 2015
Using crowdsourced online experiments to study context-dependency of behavior
M Keuschnigg, F Bader, J Bracher
Social science research 59, 68-82, 2016
On the multibin logarithmic score used in the FluSight competitions
J Bracher
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 116 (42), 20809-20810, 2019
Periodically stationary multivariate autoregressive models
J Bracher, L Held
arXiv preprint arXiv:1707.04635, 2017
Comment on" Under-reported data analysis with INAR-hidden Markov chains"
J Bracher
Statistics in Medicine 38 (5), 893-898, 2018
Endemic-epidemic models with discrete-time serial interval distributions for infectious disease prediction
J Bracher, L Held
arXiv preprint arXiv:1901.03090, 2019
Evaluating epidemic forecasts in an interval format
J Bracher, EL Ray, T Gneiting, NG Reich
arXiv preprint arXiv:2005.12881, 2020
A marginal moment matching approach for fitting endemic-epidemic models to underreported disease surveillance counts
J Bracher, L Held
arXiv preprint arXiv:2003.05885, 2020
A new INARMA (1, 1) model with Poisson marginals
J Bracher
Workshop on Stochastic Models, Statistics and their Application, 323-333, 2019
A spatio-temporal approach to short-term prediction of visceral leishmaniasis diagnoses in India
ES Nightingale, LAC Chapman, S Srikantiah, S Subramanian, ...
PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases 14 (7), e0008422, 2020
An extended note on the multibin logarithmic score used in the FluSight competitions
J Bracher
arXiv preprint arXiv:1910.07084, 2019
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